NFL experts predict New York Giants' 2025 record

The New York Giants are returning from a 3-14 campaign, one of the worst in franchise history, that very nearly resulted in a house cleaning. Instead, co-owners John Mara and Steve Tisch decided to run it back in 2025, which has led to very little optimism.

The Giants are widely viewed as the worst team in the NFC East and one of the worst in football despite several high-yield drafts by general manager Joe Schoen.

Just how bad are things expected to be? Here's a compilation of expert and analyst record predictions for the Giants in 2025.

Adam Rank, NFL Media: 4-13

Could Jaxson Dart leap over Russell Wilson and Jameis Winston to lead the Giants to the playoffs this year, proving both of us wrong here? Or could one of the vets even pull it off? Sure. I'm not saying it's likely. But we saw some weird stuff last year, so never say never. One thing I can say for certain: Draft Malik Nabers in fantasy.

Conor Orr, Sports Illustrated: 6-11

I have a running bet with friends that the Giants will exceed the Vegas-suggested 5.5 win total in 2025, though I did not realize how stressful finding those wins would be. For example, when I tried to look for solid pockets of wins, I ended up having the Giants defeat the Chiefs, figuring Rashee Rice may not be with the team and Abdul Carter could make work of a rookie left tackle still early in the season. However, one of these wins is against the Chiefs. This is partially a best-case scenario overview of a tough schedule, and partially a show of faith that the Giants will end the season with one major positive: a post-bye victory over the Commanders after the official switch is made from Russell Wilson to Jaxon Dart. 

Nate Davis, USA TODAY: 2-15

A team coming off a 3-14 season somehow draws the league’s toughest schedule based on opponents’ 2024 winning percentages (.574). So much for competitive balance. This record projection isn’t indicative of the young talent on this roster, including WR Malik Nabers, LT Andrew Thomas, rookie OLB Abdul Carter and others. But it’s very hard to find wins on this schedule or expect QB Russell Wilson will enjoy a renaissance at age 36, especially when pressure to play quarterback of the future Jaxson Dart as the season wears on is only likely to incrementally grow.

Ralph Vacchiano, FOX Sports: 6-11

The real shame of this Giants season is if they had a schedule that was just a little easier — maybe just two or three more soft-ish games — they’d have a shot to really show some legitimate improvement. They should get much better quarterback play. Their offensive line should be better. They’ve really upgraded their defense, too. But they are trying to dig out of a 3-14 hole against an absolutely brutal, punishing schedule that barely gives them a break along the way. 

The Giants will be a better team, but the progress will be incremental. And that’s a big problem for Schoen and Daboll, who are sitting on very hot seats. Mara is going to have to decide whether he wants to look past another ugly record and try to sell his disillusioned fan base on hard-to-see progress, or whether he wants to undergo yet another franchise overhaul. 

It’ll be a tough call, and this schedule won’t make any of it easy. Or pretty. Or fun.

NFL Nation, ESPN: 7-10

Biggest strength: The defensive front. Brian Burns and Dexter Lawrence II were in the top 20 in pressure percentage at their respective positions last season. Kayvon Thibodeaux already has a double-digit sack season (11.5 in 2023). Add No. 3 draft pick Abdul Carter to that mix, and the Giants' pass rush has the potential to be lethal. Now, the Giants have to get the lead and stop the run to maximize that talent. -- Jordan Raanan

Biggest concern: Can the offense score enough? The Giants have raved about veteran quarterback Russell Wilson's leadership and the effect it will have on the group. But is it enough to turn the 31st-ranked scoring offense into a more effective unit? New York returns 10 of 11 starters on offense, and perhaps its most indispensable player, left tackle Andrew Thomas, was recently activated off the PUP list and didn't play a preseason snap. -- Raanan

NFL Staff, The Athletic: 6-11

The Giants improved their roster, particularly on defense with the additions of edge rusher Abdul Carter, cornerback Paulson Adebo and safety Jevon Holland. The quarterback play with Russell Wilson (and eventually Jaxson Dart) has to be better than the Daniel Jones-Drew Lock-Tommy DeVito disaster of last season. But still, this is a team that won three games last season. Even with the upgrades, it’s difficult to see many wins against the hardest schedule in the league. — Dan Duggan

John Breech, CBS Sports: 5-12

If everyone stays healthy, I feel like the Eagles can coast to the division title and that's mainly because the other three teams in the division all have at least one glaring weakness. The Commanders gave up the third-most rushing yards in the NFL last season and I'm still not sure if they can stop the run. In Dallas, Jerry Jones is doing his best to run the Cowboys into the ground. And the Giants are the Giants. This feels like the year where we finally get a repeat champ. 

Matt Johnson, Sportsnaut: 2-15

The New York Giants schedule is the toughest in the NFL and will contribute heavily to why we believe they’ll finish with the worst record in football this season. It’s a shame because this Giants defensive line is a terrifying unit that can create havoc at any time against every opponent. Unfortunately, the rest of the roster just isn’t good enough to compete against the gauntlet of playoff-caliber teams and Super Bowl contenders that New York faces this season.

Moe Moton, Bleacher Report: 4-13

The Giants have been cautious with left tackle Andrew Thomas, who's recovering from foot surgery, while Malik Nabers has dealt with minor toe and shoulder issues.

Regardless, New York has a brutal schedule. It opens the season with two road games against division rivals. Then, two playoff teams from last year, the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers, will greet the Giants at home. Between Weeks 6 and 8, they have a road game against the Denver Broncos sandwiched between two contests with the Eagles.

In the second half of the campaign, they will play four teams that made the playoffs last year. Russell Wilson will keep Big Blue competitive, but at this stage in his career, he's not a savior for a team with an extremely difficult schedule. We will see rookie Jaxson Dart under center at some point in 2025.

This article originally appeared on Giants Wire: NFL experts predict Giants' 2025 record